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Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2024 Vol.133 No.4

2024 Vol.133 No.4

Projected Population by Municipality in 2050 (2020=100)

The National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (Japan) projects future population both nationally and by region based on the Population Census of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. According to the latest projections in Regional Population Projections for Japan: 2020—2050, the number of municipalities whose populations will decline in the coming 30 years is 1,651, which is more than 95% of all 1,728 municipalities (excluding 13 municipalities in the Hamadori region of Fukushima Prefecture, which are projected as a single region). The rate of population decline will tend to be higher in municipalities with smaller populations in non-metropolitan areas. The main factor behind this decline is natural decrease caused by low fertility. The pressure of population decline due to natural decrease is growing stronger over time. The Tokyo metropolitan area, which currently has a growing population due to net migration, will also begin to see its population decline.


(Shiro KOIKE)




Special Issue: Population Decline and Non-metropolitan Areas (Part Ⅰ):
Population Changes, Spatial Population Distributions, and Migration from a Macro Perspective

Overview of the Special Issue
 “Population Decline and Non-metropolitan Areas (Part Ⅰ) : Population Changes,
 Spatial Population Distributions, and Migration from a Macro Perspective”

Hideto SATOH, Yuji ESAKI, Shiro KOIKE
and Masakazu YAMAUCHI

Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2024, 133(4), 241.

DOI:10.5026/jgeography.133.241

Preface of the Special Issue “Population Decline and Non-metropolitan Areas (Part Ⅰ) :
 Population Changes, Spatial Population Distributions, and Migration
 from a Macro Perspective”

Hideto SATOH, Yuji ESAKI, Shiro KOIKE
and Masakazu YAMAUCHI

Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2024, 133(4), 245.

DOI:10.5026/jgeography.133.245

Population Trends of Rural Regions in Japan (Original Article)

Yuji ESAKI

Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2024, 133(4), 249.

DOI:10.5026/jgeography.133.249

Recent Changes in Spatial Population Distributions within Municipalities
 in the Tohoku Region, Japan (Original Article)

Masakazu YAMAUCHI

Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2024, 133(4), 263.

DOI:10.5026/jgeography.133.263

A Decomposition Analysis of Internal Migration Propensity Changes
 from 1980 to 2015 in Japan (Original Article)

Hitomi YOSHIDOME and Masakazu YAMAUCHI

Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2024, 133(4), 287.

DOI:10.5026/jgeography.133.287

Do Municipal Mergers Increase Migration?:
 Estimates of Migration between Old Municipal Areas Using Census Data
 (Short Article)

Seia HISAI

Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2024, 133(4), 303.

DOI:10.5026/jgeography.133.303

Changes in Career Paths and Migration of High School Graduates
 since 1990 in Nagano Prefecture:
 Focusing on Migration for Education at Universities, Junior Colleges,
 and Professional Training Colleges, and for Employment (Original Article)

Azusa KURIBAYASHI

Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2024, 133(4), 317.

DOI:10.5026/jgeography.133.317